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July 17, 2007

Valued Lineup

I was curious about the Giants VORP, so I looked a few things up at Baseball Prospectus. Here are where the Giants stand at each position in the National League (actual figure in parentheses, followed by the positional leader, except for Bonds, who has the second-place guy):

c Bengie Molina, 8th (5.7; Russell Martin, 36.8)
1b Ryan Klesko, 12th (10.2; Prince Fielder 35.4)
2b Ray Durham, 14th (3.6; Chase Utley 48.5)
3b Pedro Feliz, 26th (-3.5; Miguel Cabrera 45.0)
ss Omar Vizquel, 25th (-9.1; Hanley Ramirez 45.8)
lf Barry Bonds 1st (38.7; Matt Holliday 37.4)
cf Dave Roberts 16th (1.1; Aaron Rowand 33.2)
rf Randy Winn 10th (7.5; Ken Griffey Jr. 31.9)

Add up those Giants and you get 54.2, which in Phillies terms equals Aaron Rowand plus Ryan Howard. And Howard's been having an off year.

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Comments

I am not a BP subscriber, so I could only look up one player, which I did. It was Molina. You list his VORP at 5.8. The way I read BP it looks like his VORP is 16.1. Am I doing something wrong?
Is there any other, non-subscription site to obtain VORP?

I don't know, Frank. I'll try to e-mail you and maybe you can step me through where you found that number. (The numbers will have changed by now.)

A couple of number crunching articles for you baseball fans.

A Freakanomics post about using randomization as a sports strategy:
http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/11/why-dont-sports-teams-use-randomization-a-guest-post/

and a look at signals in baseball and in markets:
http://www.dailyspeculations.com/wordpress/?p=2484

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